Within neighborhood
56
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights
Tract 39035121700 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 4,899 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 39035121700 covers part of the Chagrin-Lee area of Cleveland, OH, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,899 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,616
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$73,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4535, -81.5642 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin-Lee scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,146 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
5.0
How Chagrin-Lee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 41%Grade A
- 52%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 298Total filings over 12 yrs
- 8.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2013)
- 33Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 94% over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 196Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.6%Food insecurity
- 17.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,146, 21% above the Cleveland average.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Against Cuyahoga County at 43.0%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 298 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035121700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035121700?
Census tract 39035121700 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035121700?
Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035121700?
12.4% of residents in tract 39035121700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,899.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035121700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 63th, minority 99th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 39035121700 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035121700 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035121700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 298 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035121700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.23% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39035121700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39035121700 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39035121700 compare to Shaker Heights overall?
Tract 39035121700 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39035121700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights
Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Miles Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Riverside Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Clark-Fulton
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Garrett Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairfax
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye-Woodhill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
St. Clair-Superior
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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