Neighborhood · Ranked #41,480 of 84,120 nationally

Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035121700 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 4,899 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is Chagrin-Lee in Shaker Heights for landlords? Census tract 39035121700 scores 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,146 monthly, set against $73,889 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 23% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,616

Renter share36.4%

SVI overall0.43

Poverty rate12.4%

Median income$73,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4535, -81.5642 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chagrin-Lee scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Shaker Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

12.4% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,146 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Shaker Heights

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Shaker Heights

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Shaker Heights

5.0

How Chagrin-Lee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

56%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

41%Grade A
52%Grade B
7%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

298Total filings over 12 yrs
8.23%Avg annual filing rate
7.3%Peak (2013)
33Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings climbed 94% over the past 12 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

196Total filings 2020-21
2.6Avg monthly (observed)
3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.82×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.1%Housing insecurity
13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
20.6%Food insecurity
17.2%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035121700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035121700?

Census tract 39035121700 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035121700?

Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035121700?

12.4% of residents in tract 39035121700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,899.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035121700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 63th, minority 99th, housing 6th.

Is tract 39035121700 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035121700 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035121700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 298 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035121700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.23% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 39035121700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39035121700 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035121700 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035121700 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39035121700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.