Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights
Tract 39035183603 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,600 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 39035183603 in the Chagrin-Lee area of Shaker Heights, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,600 residents. Cost burden runs 28% here against 43.0% across Cuyahoga County.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units690
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$47,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4608, -81.5687 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin-Lee scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.2
How Chagrin-Lee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 98%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 259Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.2%Peak (2008)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 113% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Court records carry 259 eviction filings across 12 observed years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 18.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 11.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035183603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183603?
Census tract 39035183603 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035183603?
Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183603?
15.1% of residents in tract 39035183603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,600.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 75th, minority 94th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 39035183603 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183603 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 259 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.96% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035183603 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035183603 compare to Shaker Heights overall?
Tract 39035183603 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035183603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights
Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Van Aken District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Fairfax Triangle
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Fairmount Taylor
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Fairmount Circle
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Van Aken District
3
/ 10 · Low
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