Neighborhood · Ranked #21,326 of 84,120 nationally

Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Elevated , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035183402 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,798 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

In Chagrin-Lee in Shaker Heights, census tract 39035183402 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 74th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,117 monthly, set against $58,958 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 21% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units800

Renter share41.4%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate13.3%

Median income$58,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4701, -81.5765 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chagrin-Lee scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Shaker Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

13.3% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,117 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Shaker Heights

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Shaker Heights

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Shaker Heights

4.2

How Chagrin-Lee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

56%Grade A
43%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

273Total filings over 12 yrs
8.95%Avg annual filing rate
17.4%Peak (2008)
18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.6%Housing insecurity
10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
5.4%No health insurance
13.8%Frequent mental distress
28.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035183402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183402?

Census tract 39035183402 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035183402?

Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183402?

13.3% of residents in tract 39035183402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,798.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 45th, minority 90th, housing 59th.

Is tract 39035183402 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183402 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 273 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.95% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035183402 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035183402 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035183402 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035183402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.