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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,898 of 84,120 nationally

Little Arabia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cleveland

Tract 39035123502 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 2,670 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 39035123502 covers Little Arabia in Cleveland in Ohio. Home to 2,670 residents, it scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $798 monthly, set against $40,889 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 25% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,375
Renter share64.7%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$40,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileBottomTop
#5 of 7 tracts In Little Arabia
Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileBottomTop
#98 of 159 tracts In Cleveland
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#216 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Moderate
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileBottomTop
#600 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.4573, -81.7958 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Arabia scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$798 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cleveland
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cleveland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cleveland
5.0

How Little Arabia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Arabia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 123502Cleveland: 5.55.5Clevelandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 1,187Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 11.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak (2005)
  • 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351235022004: 101 filings (13.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 146 filings (17.46/100 renter HHs)2006: 114 filings (13.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 73 filings (8.73/100 renter HHs)2008: 96 filings (11.48/100 renter HHs)2009: 140 filings (16.75/100 renter HHs)2010: 69 filings (9.49/100 renter HHs)2011: 98 filings (11.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 118 filings (13.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 94 filings (10.80/100 renter HHs)2015: 74 filings (8.51/100 renter HHs)2016: 64 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 12 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 382Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.93×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 9 filings (1.24× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-09-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-11-01: 6 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-12-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 8 filings (1.10× baseline)2021-02-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-04-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 9 filings (1.44× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-07-01: 10 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (1.28× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2023-02-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2023-09-01: 11 filings (3.14× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-11-01: 10 filings (1.38× baseline)2023-12-01: 15 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-01-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 9 filings (2.57× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-11-01: 11 filings (1.52× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-01-01: 12 filings (1.66× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-03-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-08-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2025-09-01: 10 filings (2.86× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (0.93× baseline)2025-11-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (1.28× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Arabia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Arabia

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035123502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035123502?

Census tract 39035123502 in the Little Arabia neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035123502?

Median gross rent is $798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035123502?

17.0% of residents in tract 39035123502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,670.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035123502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 12th, minority 54th, housing 52th.

Q5

Is tract 39035123502 considered part of Little Arabia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035123502 fall within Little Arabia (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035123502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,187 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035123502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.94% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39035123502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 39035123502 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 39035123502 compare to Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035123502 scores 5.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Cleveland at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39035123502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cleveland

Top eight tracts in Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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