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Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Alpha Eviction Risk: Lower , Beavercreek

Tract 39057210602 · Greene County, OH · pop 5,198 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 39057210602, in the Alpha area of Beavercreek eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,198. It lands near the 25th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,224 monthly, set against $113,322 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,138
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$113,322

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Alpha
Very High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Beavercreek
Moderate
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 42 tracts In Greene County
Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#2,910 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beavercreek and the region

Centroid at 39.7250, -84.0381 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alpha scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beavercreek
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beavercreek
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beavercreek
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beavercreek
3.4

How Alpha compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alpha risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 210602Beavercreek: 2.22.2Beavercreekparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 0.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390572106022002: 5 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (0.30/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 80% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Alpha. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alpha

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Beavercreek eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Greene County average of 4.5 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39057210602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39057210602?

Census tract 39057210602 in the Alpha neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39057210602?

Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39057210602?

4.6% of residents in tract 39057210602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39057210602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 11th, minority 25th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 39057210602 considered part of Alpha?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39057210602 fall within Alpha (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39057210602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39057210602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.97% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39057210602 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39057210602 compare to Beavercreek overall?

Tract 39057210602 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Beavercreek at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beavercreek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beavercreek

Top eight tracts in Beavercreek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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