Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cincinnati
Tract 39061002500 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 3,169 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up Bethlehem in Cincinnati, census tract 39061002500 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,188 a month against an average household income of $40,343 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 90% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,322
Renter share90.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate55.7%
Median income$40,343
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region
Centroid at 39.1244, -84.5169 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bethlehem scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
55.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,188 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5
How Bethlehem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 623Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2002)
- 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 171Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bethlehem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.5%Housing insecurity
- 19.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.7%Food insecurity
- 34.1%SNAP enrollment
- 21.7%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 29.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bethlehem
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 623 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2002.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.96x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39061002500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061002500?
Census tract 39061002500 in the Bethlehem neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39061002500?
Median gross rent is $1,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39061002500?
55.7% of residents in tract 39061002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,169.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39061002500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 1th, minority 28th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 39061002500 considered part of Bethlehem?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061002500 fall within Bethlehem (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061002500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 623 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061002500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.38% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39061002500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39061002500 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39061002500 compare to Cincinnati overall?
Tract 39061002500 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati
Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Winton Terrace
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Westwood Town Center Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pill Hill
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Knowltons Corner
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mount Airy
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Uptown Cincinnati
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pill Hill
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brighton
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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