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Neighborhood · Cincinnati, OH

Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,537 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.4–5.9

Bethlehem is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Cincinnati with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,537 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 64% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 40% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,290/month sits 29% higher than the Cincinnati citywide average ($1,001).

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bethlehem vs Cincinnati How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.5% +111%
Cincinnati: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,290 +29%
Cincinnati: $1,001
Average HH income
$44,742 -13%
Cincinnati: $51,707
Poverty rate
48.1% +96%
Cincinnati: 24.5%
Renter share
86.8% +44%
Cincinnati: 60.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.4–5.9

Why Bethlehem scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
48.1% below poverty line · Range 7.6–10.0 across tracts
9.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–6.9 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Bethlehem vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bethlehem score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bethlehem: 5.75.7BethlehemNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bethlehem

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39061002500 5.9 3,169 75% $1,188
39061002300 5.4 1,368 37% $1,526
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bethlehem

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,355Total filings (sum)
  • 7.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.4%Peak year (2003)
  • 3.59%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 277Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly observed
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.87×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati, OH).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bethlehem

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bethlehem

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bethlehem?

Bethlehem scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bethlehem compare to Cincinnati overall?

Bethlehem scores 2.3 points higher than Cincinnati overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,290 vs $1,001.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bethlehem?

Average gross rent in Bethlehem is $1,290/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bethlehem residents are renters?

87% of Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Cincinnati). The neighborhood has 4,537 residents.
Q5

Is Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?

Bethlehem sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bethlehem have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bethlehem is census tract 39061002500 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.9, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Bethlehem for landlords?

Bethlehem carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cincinnati as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bethlehem?

Bethlehem has 4,568 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bethlehem

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cincinnati

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bethlehem.

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