2 census tracts · pop 4,537 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.9–5.9
Bethlehem is a 2-tract neighborhood of Cincinnati, OH, population 4,537. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, Moderate tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs 64% against 30.1% citywide, putting Bethlehem 33.4% over its own city. The poverty rate is 48%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.3/10. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Set annual rent against average household income of $44,742 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Average gross rent is $1,290, 29% above the Cincinnati average of $1,001. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. 17.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Court records carry 1,355 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Food insecurity affects 28.4% of adults, 10.6 points above the national rate.
Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 18.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.2% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 38 mapped neighborhoods of Cincinnati, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bethlehem vs CincinnatiHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bethlehem
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,355Total filings (sum)
7.00%Avg annual filing rate
18.4%Peak year (2003)
3.59%Latest filed (2018)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
277Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly observed
2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.87×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati, OH).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bethlehem
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.6%Housing insecurity
17.8%Utility shutoff threat
30.5%Food insecurity
30.3%SNAP enrollment
11.3%No health insurance
34.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bethlehem
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bethlehem?
Bethlehem scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bethlehem compare to Cincinnati overall?
Bethlehem scores 1.4 points higher than Cincinnati overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,290 vs $1,001.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bethlehem?
Average gross rent in Bethlehem is $1,290/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bethlehem residents are renters?
87% of Bethlehem households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Cincinnati). The neighborhood has 4,537 residents.
Q5
Is Bethlehem a high social-vulnerability area?
Bethlehem sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Bethlehem have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Bethlehem is census tract 39061002500 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 5.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Bethlehem for landlords?
Bethlehem carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cincinnati as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Bethlehem?
Bethlehem has 4,568 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
