Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Observatory Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Cincinnati
Tract 39061004800 ·
Hamilton County, OH · pop 3,527 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in the Observatory Historic District neighborhood of Cincinnati centers on tract 39061004800, which scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,527 residents. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,390 monthly, set against $200,817 in average yearly household income, roughly 8% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 20%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share26.1%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$200,817
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Observatory Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#110 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
Very Low
Within county
21th percentile
#178 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
Low
Within state
21th percentile
#2,485 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region
Centroid at 39.1323, -84.4170 · click any tract to drill in
Why Observatory Historic District scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5
How Observatory Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
0%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
46Total filings over 15 yrs
1.16%Avg annual filing rate
1.9%Peak (2012)
1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2002 to 2018
Filings dropped 67% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
12Total filings 2020-21
0.2Avg monthly (observed)
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Observatory Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.4%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
3.8%Food insecurity
2.4%SNAP enrollment
3.0%Transit barriers
3.2%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
14.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Observatory Historic District
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 0th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39061004800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061004800?
Census tract 39061004800 in the Observatory Historic District neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39061004800?
Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39061004800?
2.3% of residents in tract 39061004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,527.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39061004800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 12th, minority 24th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 39061004800 considered part of Observatory Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061004800 fall within Observatory Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061004800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 46 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39061004800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.16% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39061004800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39061004800 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39061004800 compare to Cincinnati overall?
Tract 39061004800 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati
Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.