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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Observatory Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Cincinnati

Tract 39061005100 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 2,422 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Observatory Historic District neighborhood of Cincinnati anchors census tract 39061005100, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,174 monthly, set against $139,524 in average yearly household income, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 28% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share37.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$139,524

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Observatory Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#108 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#162 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#2,255 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region

Centroid at 39.1406, -84.4239 · click any tract to drill in

Why Observatory Historic District scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,174 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5

How Observatory Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Observatory Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 005100Cincinnati: 3.43.4Cincinnatiparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 1.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390610051002002: 2 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (1.02/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (1.02/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2009: 2 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (2.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (0.71/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (0.94/100 renter HHs)2018: 7 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 250% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 57Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.39×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (15.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 4 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (7.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Observatory Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Observatory Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39061005100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061005100?

Census tract 39061005100 in the Observatory Historic District neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39061005100?

Median gross rent is $1,174/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39061005100?

6.2% of residents in tract 39061005100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,422.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39061005100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 2th, minority 20th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 39061005100 considered part of Observatory Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061005100 fall within Observatory Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061005100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39061005100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39061005100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39061005100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39061005100 compare to Cincinnati overall?

Tract 39061005100 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati

Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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