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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Sayler Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cincinnati

Tract 39061010500 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 1,494 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39061010500 covers the Sayler Park area of Cincinnati in Ohio. Home to 1,494 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $842 a month against an average household income of $53,333 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 22% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units618
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate27.3%
Median income$53,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Sayler Park
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#533 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region

Centroid at 39.1107, -84.6860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayler Park scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.3% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$842 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5

How Sayler Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sayler Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 010500Cincinnati: 3.43.4Cincinnatiparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 559Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 12.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.4%Peak (2014)
  • 24Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390610105002002: 28 filings (10.29/100 renter HHs)2003: 33 filings (12.13/100 renter HHs)2004: 27 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2005: 41 filings (12.42/100 renter HHs)2006: 30 filings (9.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 29 filings (8.79/100 renter HHs)2008: 52 filings (15.76/100 renter HHs)2009: 46 filings (13.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (10.46/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (14.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (9.68/100 renter HHs)2013: 41 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 53 filings (21.37/100 renter HHs)2015: 41 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (11.90/100 renter HHs)2018: 24 filings (9.52/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 180Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-12-01: 8 filings (2.22× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (2.22× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.45× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 6 filings (1.58× baseline)2021-07-01: 9 filings (1.88× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.48× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (3.13× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (1.36× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.79× baseline)2022-07-01: 11 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (1.90× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.39× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.68× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (1.05× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (1.19× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (1.07× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.45× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (1.05× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.95× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (0.83× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.26× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayler Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayler Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 559 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 12.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.4% of renter households in 2014.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39061010500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061010500?

Census tract 39061010500 in the Sayler Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39061010500?

Median gross rent is $842/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39061010500?

27.3% of residents in tract 39061010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,494.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39061010500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 63th, minority 18th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 39061010500 considered part of Sayler Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061010500 fall within Sayler Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061010500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 559 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061010500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.65% of renter households, peaking at 21.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39061010500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39061010500 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39061010500 compare to Cincinnati overall?

Tract 39061010500 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati

Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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