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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Sayler Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Cincinnati

Tract 39061010600 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 1,408 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Sayler Park neighborhood of Cincinnati for landlords? Census tract 39061010600 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $813 a month against an average household income of $89,375 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 24% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units566
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$89,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sayler Park
Very Low
Within parent city
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
Very Low
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
Moderate
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#1,450 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region

Centroid at 39.1222, -84.6987 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sayler Park scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$813 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5

How Sayler Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sayler Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 010600Cincinnati: 3.43.4Cincinnatiparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 251Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 14.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.6%Peak (2010)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390610106002002: 14 filings (9.85/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (7.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (16.88/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (16.06/100 renter HHs)2006: 8 filings (9.88/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (16.06/100 renter HHs)2008: 14 filings (17.29/100 renter HHs)2009: 13 filings (16.06/100 renter HHs)2010: 30 filings (25.64/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (19.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 20 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 13 filings (13.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (18.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2018: 7 filings (3.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 55Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 5 filings (4.17× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.91× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (2.14× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (2.14× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sayler Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sayler Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39061010600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061010600?

Census tract 39061010600 in the Sayler Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39061010600?

Median gross rent is $813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39061010600?

10.4% of residents in tract 39061010600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,408.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39061010600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 64th, minority 20th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 39061010600 considered part of Sayler Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061010600 fall within Sayler Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061010600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061010600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.80% of renter households, peaking at 25.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39061010600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39061010600 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39061010600 compare to Cincinnati overall?

Tract 39061010600 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati

Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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