Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Vinerest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Eastlake
Tract 39085201200 · Lake County, OH · pop 3,662 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 39085201200 in the Vinerest area of Willoughby, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,662 residents. Cost burden runs 55% here against 36.8% across Lake County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,999
Renter share38.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$47,165
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eastlake and the region
Centroid at 41.6318, -81.4222 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vinerest scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eastlake
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eastlake
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eastlake
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eastlake
5.6
How Vinerest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 519Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 153% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vinerest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vinerest
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Lake County average of 3.8.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
Court records carry 519 eviction filings across 14 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39085201200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085201200?
Census tract 39085201200 in the Vinerest neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39085201200?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39085201200?
11.4% of residents in tract 39085201200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39085201200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 67th, minority 17th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 39085201200 considered part of Vinerest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39085201200 fall within Vinerest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39085201200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 519 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39085201200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.92% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39085201200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39085201200 compare to Eastlake overall?
Tract 39085201200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Eastlake at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eastlake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eastlake
Top eight tracts in Eastlake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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