Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Briar Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon
Tract 39093013202 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,996 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Briar Lakes in Avon is where census tract 39093013202 sits, home to 5,996 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #67,365 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 17% of renter households, a modest level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,374 monthly, set against $74,063 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,502
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$74,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avon and the region
Centroid at 41.4659, -82.0407 · click any tract to drill in
Why Briar Lakes scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avon
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon
3.6
How Briar Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Briar Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Briar Lakes
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lorain County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093013202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093013202?
Census tract 39093013202 in the Briar Lakes neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093013202?
Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093013202?
11.2% of residents in tract 39093013202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093013202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 37th, minority 30th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 39093013202 considered part of Briar Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093013202 fall within Briar Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39093013202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39093013202 compare to Avon overall?
Tract 39093013202 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Avon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avon
Top eight tracts in Avon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related