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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Upper West Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099803000 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,671 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39099803000 sits in the Upper West Side area of Youngstown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 1,671. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 13% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units793
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$45,846

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Upper West Side
Moderate
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.1104, -80.6976 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper West Side scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Upper West Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper West Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 8030004.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak (2016)
  • 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099803000
Filings climbed 94% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper West Side

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Mahoning County average of 42.6%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Average gross rent is $932, 28% above the Youngstown average.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 167 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 9.8% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099803000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099803000?

Census tract 39099803000 in the Upper West Side neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099803000?

Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099803000?

21.4% of residents in tract 39099803000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,671.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099803000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 97th, minority 50th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 39099803000 considered part of Upper West Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099803000 fall within Upper West Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099803000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 167 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099803000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.51% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099803000 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099803000 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099803000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099803000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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