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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Twin Towers Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113002200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,971 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 39113002200 covers part of the Twin Towers area of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 57%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 15% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share58.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$33,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Twin Towers
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7513, -84.1668 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twin Towers scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,007 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Twin Towers compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Twin Towers risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0022004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,417Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 10.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2004)
  • 62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113002200
Filings dropped 41% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twin Towers

Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $33,261 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, economic stress reads 8.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,417 filings here across 17 tracked years. At $1,007 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Dayton commands.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 12.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 10.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002200?

Census tract 39113002200 in the Twin Towers neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113002200?

Median gross rent is $1,007/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002200?

33.1% of residents in tract 39113002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,971.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 98th, minority 59th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 39113002200 considered part of Twin Towers?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113002200 fall within Twin Towers (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,417 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.88% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113002200 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113002200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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