Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Twin Towers Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113002200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,971 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39113002200 (Twin Towers in Dayton, Ohio) comes in at 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 57% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,007 a month while the average household earns $33,261 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 15% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,146

Renter share58.6%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate33.1%

Median income$33,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7513, -84.1668 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twin Towers scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

33.1% poverty · this tract

8.3

Supply constraint

$1,007 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Twin Towers compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
11%Grade B
81%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,417Total filings over 17 yrs
10.88%Avg annual filing rate
12.5%Peak (2004)
62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2018

Filings dropped 41% over the past 17 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.8%Housing insecurity
20.7%Utility-shutoff threat
35.8%Food insecurity
37.0%SNAP enrollment
18.6%Transit barriers
17.3%No health insurance
24.2%Frequent mental distress
42.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twin Towers

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,417 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 10.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.5% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113002200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002200?

Census tract 39113002200 in the Twin Towers neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113002200?

Median gross rent is $1,007/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002200?

33.1% of residents in tract 39113002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,971.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 98th, minority 59th, housing 71th.

Is tract 39113002200 considered part of Twin Towers?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113002200 fall within Twin Towers (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,417 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.88% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39113002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113002200 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113002200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org