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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113002800 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,929 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

For landlords sizing up Dayton, census tract 39113002800 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,260 monthly, set against $52,117 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 5% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units997
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$52,117

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#576 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7332, -84.1193 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 002800Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 285Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak (2008)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130028002002: 8 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 20 filings (11.49/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 13 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)2008: 36 filings (12.04/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (6.35/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (5.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 13 filings (4.44/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (4.78/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (8.19/100 renter HHs)2015: 30 filings (10.24/100 renter HHs)2016: 16 filings (6.48/100 renter HHs)2017: 16 filings (6.48/100 renter HHs)2018: 22 filings (8.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 175% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113002800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113002800?

Census tract 39113002800 in Dayton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113002800?

Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113002800?

27.4% of residents in tract 39113002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,929.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113002800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 23th, minority 3th, housing 13th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113002800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.52% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113002800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113002800 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113002800 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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