Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001700 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 656 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 39113001700 reflects conditions in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood of Dayton, Ohio. That is riskier than about 60% of US census tracts.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $654 a month while the average household earns $35,833 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 79% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 44% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units398

Renter share78.9%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate31.7%

Median income$35,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7819, -84.1858 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

31.7% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$654 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
3%Grade C
31%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,134Total filings over 17 yrs
16.41%Avg annual filing rate
37.7%Peak (2004)
26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2018

Filings dropped 82% over the past 17 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.2%Housing insecurity
19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
32.7%Food insecurity
34.9%SNAP enrollment
16.6%Transit barriers
14.3%No health insurance
23.5%Frequent mental distress
42.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,134 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 16.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.7% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001700?

Census tract 39113001700 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113001700?

Median gross rent is $654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001700?

31.7% of residents in tract 39113001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 656.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 30th, minority 37th, housing 27th.

Is tract 39113001700 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001700 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,134 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.41% of renter households, peaking at 37.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39113001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113001700 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001700 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org