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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

West Carrollton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113050301 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,081 · 95% of tract blocks fall in West Carrollton

Tract 39113050301 sits in West Carrollton, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 3,081 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 21% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,489
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$45,550

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In West Carrollton
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#1,200 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across West Carrollton and the region

Centroid at 39.6838, -84.2582 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Carrollton scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from West Carrollton
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$705 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Carrollton
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Carrollton
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Carrollton
5.6

How West Carrollton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Carrollton risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0503014.0West Carrolltonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 399Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2003)
  • 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113050301
Filings dropped 33% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Carrollton

At $705 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of West Carrollton commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Montgomery County average of 42.9%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 399 filings here across 17 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 6.4% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113050301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113050301?

Census tract 39113050301 in West Carrollton scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113050301?

Median gross rent is $705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113050301?

13.3% of residents in tract 39113050301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,081.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113050301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 59th, minority 21th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113050301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 399 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113050301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.13% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113050301 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113050301 compare to West Carrollton overall?

Tract 39113050301 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of West Carrollton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Carrollton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113050301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in West Carrollton

Top eight tracts in West Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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