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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Fort McKinley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113080100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 6,659 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Fort McKinley

Fort McKinley anchors census tract 39113080100, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $922 a month while the average household earns $45,563 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 30% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,734
Renter share63.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$45,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fort McKinley
Moderate
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#783 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort McKinley and the region

Centroid at 39.8107, -84.2453 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort McKinley scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort McKinley
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$922 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort McKinley
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort McKinley
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort McKinley
8.3

How Fort McKinley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort McKinley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 080100Fort McKinley: 3.23.2Fort McKinleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,107Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak (2009)
  • 202Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130801002002: 96 filings (7.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 130 filings (10.16/100 renter HHs)2004: 102 filings (7.97/100 renter HHs)2005: 192 filings (11.44/100 renter HHs)2006: 145 filings (8.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 233 filings (13.89/100 renter HHs)2008: 225 filings (13.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 252 filings (15.02/100 renter HHs)2010: 179 filings (12.34/100 renter HHs)2011: 223 filings (14.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 167 filings (10.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 177 filings (11.26/100 renter HHs)2014: 224 filings (14.25/100 renter HHs)2015: 179 filings (11.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 165 filings (9.87/100 renter HHs)2017: 216 filings (12.93/100 renter HHs)2018: 202 filings (12.09/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 110% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort McKinley

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort McKinley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,107 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 11.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.0% of renter households in 2009.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113080100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113080100?

Census tract 39113080100 in Fort McKinley scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113080100?

Median gross rent is $922/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113080100?

20.9% of residents in tract 39113080100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113080100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 35th, minority 86th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113080100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,107 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113080100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.59% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113080100 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113080100 compare to Fort McKinley overall?

Tract 39113080100 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort McKinley at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort McKinley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113080100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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