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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Eagle Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113080400 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,102 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 39113080400 sits in the Eagle Ridge area of Montgomery County, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,102 residents. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 42.9% across Montgomery County.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 56% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,668
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$55,320

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Eagle Ridge
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Dayton
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#1,036 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.8067, -84.2152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eagle Ridge scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
5.0

How Eagle Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eagle Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0804004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,439Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.2%Peak (2008)
  • 143Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113080400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eagle Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eagle Ridge

This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 7.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 2,439 evictions over 17 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2008 at 19.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113080400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113080400?

Census tract 39113080400 in the Eagle Ridge neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113080400?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113080400?

20.1% of residents in tract 39113080400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,102.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113080400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 93th, minority 81th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 39113080400 considered part of Eagle Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113080400 fall within Eagle Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113080400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,439 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113080400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.48% of renter households, peaking at 19.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113080400 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113080400 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113080400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113080400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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