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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Eagle Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113080400 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,102 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 39113080400 belongs to the Eagle Ridge neighborhood of Dayton, Ohio. It is home to 3,102 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 24% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $877 a month while the average household earns $55,320 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 56% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,668
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$55,320

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Eagle Ridge
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Dayton
Moderate
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#1,148 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.8067, -84.2152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eagle Ridge scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
5.0

How Eagle Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eagle Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 080400Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,439Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.2%Peak (2008)
  • 143Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130804002002: 128 filings (9.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 160 filings (11.76/100 renter HHs)2004: 157 filings (11.54/100 renter HHs)2005: 170 filings (12.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 195 filings (14.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 232 filings (17.42/100 renter HHs)2008: 256 filings (19.22/100 renter HHs)2009: 145 filings (10.89/100 renter HHs)2010: 170 filings (16.01/100 renter HHs)2011: 121 filings (11.18/100 renter HHs)2012: 97 filings (8.96/100 renter HHs)2013: 105 filings (9.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 67 filings (6.19/100 renter HHs)2015: 69 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)2016: 108 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)2017: 116 filings (9.18/100 renter HHs)2018: 143 filings (11.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eagle Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eagle Ridge

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113080400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113080400?

Census tract 39113080400 in the Eagle Ridge neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113080400?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113080400?

20.1% of residents in tract 39113080400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,102.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113080400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 93th, minority 81th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 39113080400 considered part of Eagle Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113080400 fall within Eagle Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113080400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,439 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113080400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.48% of renter households, peaking at 19.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113080400 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113080400 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113080400 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113080400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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