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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Eagle Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001600 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,851 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 39113001600 covers Eagle Ridge in Dayton, home to 1,851 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $647 a month while the average household earns $46,292 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 17% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate33.5%
Median income$46,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Eagle Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Moderate
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#424 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7991, -84.2011 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eagle Ridge scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.5% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$647 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Eagle Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eagle Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 001600Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 695Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 10.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2009)
  • 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130016002002: 44 filings (11.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 44 filings (11.76/100 renter HHs)2004: 58 filings (15.51/100 renter HHs)2005: 56 filings (13.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 56 filings (13.90/100 renter HHs)2007: 32 filings (7.94/100 renter HHs)2008: 53 filings (13.15/100 renter HHs)2009: 65 filings (16.13/100 renter HHs)2010: 45 filings (12.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)2012: 52 filings (12.01/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 30 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 31 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2017: 23 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2018: 26 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eagle Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eagle Ridge

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 695 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 10.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.1% of renter households in 2009.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001600?

Census tract 39113001600 in the Eagle Ridge neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113001600?

Median gross rent is $647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001600?

33.5% of residents in tract 39113001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,851.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 81th, minority 57th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 39113001600 considered part of Eagle Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001600 fall within Eagle Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 695 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.01% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113001600 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001600 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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