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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Eagle Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001600 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,851 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113001600 in the Eagle Ridge area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,851. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 17% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate33.5%
Median income$46,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Eagle Ridge
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 51 tracts In Dayton
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7991, -84.2011 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eagle Ridge scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.5% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$647 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Eagle Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eagle Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0016004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 695Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 10.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2009)
  • 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113001600
Filings dropped 41% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eagle Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eagle Ridge

Cost burden runs 56% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $647 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Dayton commands.

Running hot, economic stress reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 695 evictions over 17 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 16.1% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001600?

Census tract 39113001600 in the Eagle Ridge neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113001600?

Median gross rent is $647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001600?

33.5% of residents in tract 39113001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,851.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 81th, minority 57th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 39113001600 considered part of Eagle Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001600 fall within Eagle Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 695 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.01% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113001600 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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