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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Fourth Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Massillon

Tract 39151714200 · Stark County, OH · pop 2,233 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 39151714200, home to 2,233 residents in the Fourth Street Historic District area of Massillon, scores 6.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,023 a month against an average household income of $27,917 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 19% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units896
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate49.8%
Median income$27,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Fourth Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Massillon
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 90 tracts In Stark County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#365 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Massillon and the region

Centroid at 40.7842, -81.5149 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fourth Street Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Massillon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
49.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Massillon
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Massillon
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Massillon
6.1

How Fourth Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fourth Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 714200Massillon: 2.52.5Massillonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 663Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2011)
  • 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391517142002003: 22 filings (4.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 35 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (7.98/100 renter HHs)2006: 49 filings (10.56/100 renter HHs)2008: 56 filings (12.07/100 renter HHs)2009: 50 filings (10.78/100 renter HHs)2010: 61 filings (10.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 64 filings (11.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 48 filings (8.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 48 filings (8.56/100 renter HHs)2014: 47 filings (8.38/100 renter HHs)2015: 36 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 32 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2017: 44 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2018: 34 filings (4.52/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 55% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fourth Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fourth Street Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Massillon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stark County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39151714200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151714200?

Census tract 39151714200 in the Fourth Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39151714200?

Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39151714200?

49.8% of residents in tract 39151714200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,233.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39151714200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 92th, minority 65th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 39151714200 considered part of Fourth Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39151714200 fall within Fourth Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151714200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 663 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151714200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.16% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39151714200 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39151714200 compare to Massillon overall?

Tract 39151714200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Massillon at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Massillon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Massillon

Top eight tracts in Massillon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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