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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Fourth Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Massillon

Tract 39151715000 · Stark County, OH · pop 3,062 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 39151715000 in Fourth Street Historic District in Massillon ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,062 residents. On the national scale it ranks #43,214 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $779 a month against an average household income of $42,354 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 42% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,369
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$42,354

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Fourth Street Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Massillon
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 90 tracts In Stark County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,081 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Massillon and the region

Centroid at 40.7974, -81.5145 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fourth Street Historic District scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Massillon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$779 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Massillon
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Massillon
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Massillon
6.1

How Fourth Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fourth Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 715000Massillon: 2.52.5Massillonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 782Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak (2006)
  • 43Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391517150002003: 62 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 58 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 73 filings (9.21/100 renter HHs)2006: 88 filings (11.10/100 renter HHs)2008: 57 filings (7.19/100 renter HHs)2009: 44 filings (5.55/100 renter HHs)2010: 54 filings (7.32/100 renter HHs)2011: 46 filings (7.62/100 renter HHs)2012: 38 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (6.13/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (5.63/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (7.62/100 renter HHs)2016: 59 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2017: 43 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2018: 43 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fourth Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fourth Street Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Massillon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stark County average of 5.2 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39151715000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151715000?

Census tract 39151715000 in the Fourth Street Historic District neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39151715000?

Median gross rent is $779/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39151715000?

13.8% of residents in tract 39151715000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,062.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39151715000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 54th, minority 18th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 39151715000 considered part of Fourth Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39151715000 fall within Fourth Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151715000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 782 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151715000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.23% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39151715000 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39151715000 compare to Massillon overall?

Tract 39151715000 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Massillon at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Massillon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Massillon

Top eight tracts in Massillon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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