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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Edgewood Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren

Tract 39155920300 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,853 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is Edgewood Park in Warren for landlords? Census tract 39155920300 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,073 a month while the average household earns $51,365 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$51,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Edgewood Park
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 13 tracts In Warren
Low
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#783 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Warren and the region

Centroid at 41.2429, -80.7994 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edgewood Park scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,073 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4

How Edgewood Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Edgewood Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 920300Warren: 3.03.0Warrenparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2016)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edgewood Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155920300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155920300?

Census tract 39155920300 in the Edgewood Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155920300?

Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155920300?

21.5% of residents in tract 39155920300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,853.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155920300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 58th, minority 26th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 39155920300 considered part of Edgewood Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155920300 fall within Edgewood Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155920300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155920300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155920300 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155920300 compare to Warren overall?

Tract 39155920300 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39155920300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warren

Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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