Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Warren
Tract 39155921400 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,172 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is the Colonial Village area of Warren for landlords? Census tract 39155921400 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $988 monthly, set against $64,455 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,598
Renter share19.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$64,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2450, -80.7752 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Village scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$988 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Colonial Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 22%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921400?
Census tract 39155921400 in the Colonial Village neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921400?
Median gross rent is $988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921400?
11.0% of residents in tract 39155921400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,172.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 92th, minority 32th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921400 considered part of Colonial Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921400 fall within Colonial Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.85% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921400 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921400 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Jefferson
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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