Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Warren
Tract 39155921400 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,172 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 39155921400 covers part of the Colonial Village area of Warren, OH, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 55% here against 39.0% across Trumbull County.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,598
Renter share19.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$64,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2450, -80.7752 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Village scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$988 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Colonial Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 22%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Village
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $988 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Warren commands. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Warren. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Trumbull County average of 4.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921400?
Census tract 39155921400 in the Colonial Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921400?
Median gross rent is $988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921400?
11.0% of residents in tract 39155921400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,172.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 92th, minority 32th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921400 considered part of Colonial Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921400 fall within Colonial Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.85% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921400 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921400 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Warren at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tod Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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