Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Eastgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Warren
Tract 39155921500 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 6,003 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 39155921500 in the Eastgate area of Warren, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,003 residents. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,822
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$52,951
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2269, -80.7700 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastgate scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$788 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Eastgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2016)
- 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastgate
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Trumbull County average of 39.0%. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.2% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $52,951, annual rent is just 18%. It tracks the Trumbull County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $788, close to the Warren average.
28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921500?
Census tract 39155921500 in the Eastgate neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921500?
Median gross rent is $788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921500?
10.1% of residents in tract 39155921500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,003.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 74th, minority 28th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921500 considered part of Eastgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921500 fall within Eastgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.21% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921500 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921500 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921500 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Warren at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tod Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related