Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Eastgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren
Tract 39155921500 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 6,003 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Eastgate area of Warren anchors census tract 39155921500, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $788 a month while the average household earns $52,951 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,822
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$52,951
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2269, -80.7700 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastgate scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$788 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Eastgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2016)
- 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastgate
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921500?
Census tract 39155921500 in the Eastgate neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921500?
Median gross rent is $788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921500?
10.1% of residents in tract 39155921500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,003.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 74th, minority 28th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921500 considered part of Eastgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921500 fall within Eastgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.21% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921500 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921500 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921500 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Jefferson
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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