McDonald Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Girard
Tract 39155932200 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,549 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39155932200 in the McDonald Heights area of Girard, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,549 residents. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Girard and the region
Centroid at 41.1539, -80.6874 · click any tract to drill in
Why McDonald Heights scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow McDonald Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2016)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McDonald Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.3%Food insecurity
- 18.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in McDonald Heights
The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The main counterweight is state political climate at 2.4/10. Against the Trumbull County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Trumbull County average of 39.0%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $734, close to the Girard average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 39155932200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932200?
What is the average rent in tract 39155932200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932200?
Is tract 39155932200 considered part of McDonald Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932200?
What share of households in tract 39155932200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39155932200 compare to Girard overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Girard
Top eight tracts in Girard ranked by composite eviction-risk score.