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Neighborhood · Girard, OH

McDonald Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 7,645 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 2.5–5.3

McDonald Heights is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Girard with 3 census tracts and a population of 7,645 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 28% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $767/month sits 0% lower than the Girard citywide average ($769).

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
McDonald Heights vs Girard How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.0% +12%
Girard: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$767 0%
Girard: $769
Average HH income
$53,164 +24%
Girard: $42,861
Poverty rate
17.1% -14%
Girard: 19.9%
Renter share
31.8% -1%
Girard: 32.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McDonald Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.5–5.3

Why McDonald Heights scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 2.5–5.3 across tracts
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.5 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.1–7.4 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.6–6.6 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
17.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.8 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–4.4 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

McDonald Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

McDonald Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.McDonald Heights: 4.14.1McDonald HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 2.62.6Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in McDonald Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 2.5 to 5.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in McDonald Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39155932200 5.3 2,549 32% $734
39155933900 5.2 1,936 48% $703
39155932500 2.5 3,160 13% $834
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 50%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McDonald Heights

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 51Total filings (sum)
  • 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.82%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McDonald Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About McDonald Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for McDonald Heights?

McDonald Heights scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does McDonald Heights compare to Girard overall?

McDonald Heights scores 1.5 points higher than Girard overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $767 vs $769.
Q3

What is the average rent in McDonald Heights?

Average gross rent in McDonald Heights is $767/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of McDonald Heights residents are renters?

32% of McDonald Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Girard). The neighborhood has 7,645 residents.
Q5

Is McDonald Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

McDonald Heights sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in McDonald Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in McDonald Heights is census tract 39155932200 (score 5.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 5.3, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is McDonald Heights for landlords?

McDonald Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Girard as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of McDonald Heights?

McDonald Heights has 7,608 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.2%), Other / Multiracial (6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McDonald Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Girard

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McDonald Heights.

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