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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

South Niles Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39155932600 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,524 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is the South Niles neighborhood of Niles for landlords? Census tract 39155932600 scores 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #55,202 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $779 a month while the average household earns $54,844 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 33% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,727
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$54,844

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In South Niles
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Niles
Very Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,379 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niles and the region

Centroid at 41.1767, -80.7435 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Niles scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$779 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4

How South Niles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Niles risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 932600Niles: 2.42.4Nilesparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2016)
  • 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Niles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Niles

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niles, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.8% of renter households in 2016.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155932600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932600?

Census tract 39155932600 in the South Niles neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155932600?

Median gross rent is $779/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932600?

7.9% of residents in tract 39155932600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,524.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 49th, minority 17th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 39155932600 considered part of South Niles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932600 fall within South Niles (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.76% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155932600 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155932600 compare to Niles overall?

Tract 39155932600 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Niles at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niles

Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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