Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
South Niles Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39155932702 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,424 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 39155932702 covers part of the South Niles area of Niles, OH, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,424 residents. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,071
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$44,485
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Niles and the region
Centroid at 41.1876, -80.7517 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Niles scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$950 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4
How South Niles compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 24Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2016)
- 24Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Niles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.8%Food insecurity
- 14.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Niles
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Average gross rent is $950, 19% above the Niles average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 24 filings here across 1 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters. It tracks the Trumbull County average of 4.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $44,485.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155932702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932702?
Census tract 39155932702 in the South Niles neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155932702?
Median gross rent is $950/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932702?
13.1% of residents in tract 39155932702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 15th, minority 5th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 39155932702 considered part of South Niles?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932702 fall within South Niles (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155932702 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155932702 compare to Niles overall?
Tract 39155932702 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Niles at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Niles
Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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