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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

South Niles Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39155932802 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,264 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 39155932802 sits in the South Niles area of Niles, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 3,264. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 24% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$46,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In South Niles
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Niles
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#980 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niles and the region

Centroid at 41.1738, -80.7718 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Niles scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4

How South Niles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Niles risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 9328024.0Nilesparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2016)
  • 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Niles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Niles

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Trumbull County average of 39.0%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 25.4% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 47 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Against the Trumbull County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. At $899 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Niles commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155932802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932802?

Census tract 39155932802 in the South Niles neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155932802?

Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932802?

21.8% of residents in tract 39155932802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,264.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 74th, minority 6th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 39155932802 considered part of South Niles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932802 fall within South Niles (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.19% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155932802 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155932802 compare to Niles overall?

Tract 39155932802 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Niles at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niles

Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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