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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

South Niles Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39155932802 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,264 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 39155932802 covers the South Niles neighborhood of Niles, home to 3,264 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $899 monthly, set against $46,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 24% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$46,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In South Niles
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Niles
Very High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#736 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niles and the region

Centroid at 41.1738, -80.7718 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Niles scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$899 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4

How South Niles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Niles risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 932802Niles: 2.42.4Nilesparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2016)
  • 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Niles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Niles

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niles, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155932802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932802?

Census tract 39155932802 in the South Niles neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155932802?

Median gross rent is $899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932802?

21.8% of residents in tract 39155932802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,264.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 74th, minority 6th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 39155932802 considered part of South Niles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932802 fall within South Niles (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.19% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155932802 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155932802 compare to Niles overall?

Tract 39155932802 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Niles at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niles

Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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