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Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Carlisle Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39165030101 · Warren County, OH · pop 3,711 · 36% of tract blocks fall in Carlisle

Tract 39165030101, home to 3,711 residents in Carlisle in Warren County, scores 4.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,572 a month while the average household earns $91,000 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$91,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Carlisle
Very Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 44 tracts In Warren County
Elevated
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#2,701 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
National
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#73,892 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlisle and the region

Centroid at 39.5676, -84.3506 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carlisle scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0

How Carlisle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carlisle risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 030101Carlisle: 2.62.6Carlisleparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 3.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391650301012002: 2 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (3.22/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (2.50/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 250% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carlisle

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlisle, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Warren County average of 4.4 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39165030101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39165030101?

Census tract 39165030101 in Carlisle scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39165030101?

Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39165030101?

4.6% of residents in tract 39165030101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,711.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39165030101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 15th, minority 4th, housing 13th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39165030101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 39165030101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.81% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39165030101 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39165030101 compare to Carlisle overall?

Tract 39165030101 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Carlisle at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle

Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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