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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Stillwater Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 40119010700 · Payne County, OK · pop 2,985 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

40119010700 is a census tract in the Downtown Stillwater area of Stillwater, OK. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,985 residents. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 17% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,301
Renter share73.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate56.9%
Median income$30,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Downtown Stillwater
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Stillwater
Very High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 23 tracts In Payne County
Elevated
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stillwater and the region

Centroid at 36.1019, -97.0572 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Stillwater scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stillwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
56.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$792 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stillwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stillwater
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stillwater
2.5

How Downtown Stillwater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Stillwater risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0107003.6Stillwaterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Stillwater

Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 53.0% across Payne County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 57%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 34.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Disability prevalence runs 47.8% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $792 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Stillwater commands. Against the Payne County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40119010700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40119010700?

Census tract 40119010700 in the Downtown Stillwater neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40119010700?

Median gross rent is $792/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40119010700?

56.9% of residents in tract 40119010700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,985.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40119010700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 30th, minority 47th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 40119010700 considered part of Downtown Stillwater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40119010700 fall within Downtown Stillwater (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40119010700 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40119010700 compare to Stillwater overall?

Tract 40119010700 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Stillwater at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stillwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stillwater

Top eight tracts in Stillwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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