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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Valley south Eviction Risk: Lower , Tulsa

Tract 40143007619 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 4,074 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Valley south neighborhood of Tulsa, census tract 40143007619 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #67,484 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,661 monthly, set against $73,545 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,643
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$73,545

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Valley south
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#109 of 140 tracts In Tulsa
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#118 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#828 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tulsa and the region

Centroid at 36.0536, -95.8952 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valley south scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tulsa
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,661 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tulsa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tulsa
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tulsa
2.5

How Valley south compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valley south risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 007619Tulsa: 2.32.3Tulsaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valley south

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Tulsa County average of 4.1 and above the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007619

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007619?

Census tract 40143007619 in the Valley south neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007619?

Median gross rent is $1,661/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007619?

7.7% of residents in tract 40143007619 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,074.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007619?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 90th, minority 46th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007619 considered part of Valley south?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007619 fall within Valley south (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007619 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007619 compare to Tulsa overall?

Tract 40143007619 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tulsa at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tulsa

Top eight tracts in Tulsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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