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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tulsa

Tract 40143009101 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,913 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 40143009101 in the Northgate area of Tulsa, OK reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,913 residents. SNAP participation runs 44.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 23% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,049
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$39,219

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Northgate
Moderate
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 140 tracts In Tulsa
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#39 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#100 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tulsa and the region

Centroid at 36.2570, -95.9841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tulsa
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,067 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tulsa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tulsa
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tulsa
2.5

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 009101Tulsa: 3.43.4Tulsaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $39,219 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 40.3% across Tulsa County. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143009101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143009101?

Census tract 40143009101 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143009101?

Median gross rent is $1,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143009101?

36.0% of residents in tract 40143009101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,913.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143009101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 79th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 40143009101 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143009101 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143009101 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143009101 compare to Tulsa overall?

Tract 40143009101 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tulsa at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tulsa

Top eight tracts in Tulsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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