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Neighborhood · Tulsa, OK

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,913 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Northgate is a one-tract neighborhood of Tulsa, OK and houses 2,913 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 29.0% citywide, putting Northgate 19.5% over its own city.

SNAP participation is 44.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the high side is economic stress at 9/10. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence reaches 53.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Among the 117 mapped neighborhoods of Tulsa, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,067, close to the Tulsa average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Northgate vs Tulsa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.5% +67%
Tulsa: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$1,067 +1%
Tulsa: $1,052
Average HH income
$39,219 -33%
Tulsa: $58,407
Poverty rate
36.0% +93%
Tulsa: 18.6%
Renter share
44.2% -8%
Tulsa: 48.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Northgate scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
36.0% below poverty line · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Northgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Northgate: 4.84.8NorthgateNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.53.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Northgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
40143009101 4.8 2,913 48% $1,067
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 100%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?

Northgate scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northgate compare to Tulsa overall?

Northgate scores 1.4 points higher than Tulsa overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,067 vs $1,052.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northgate?

Average gross rent in Northgate is $1,067/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?

44% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tulsa). The neighborhood has 2,913 residents.
Q5

Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Northgate sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Northgate for landlords?

Northgate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tulsa as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?

Northgate has 2,785 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (40.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.9%), Other / Multiracial (15.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tulsa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northgate.

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