Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Southgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukie
Tract 41005022201 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 5,706 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Southgate area of Milwaukie, census tract 41005022201 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,333 monthly, set against $48,931 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,741
Renter share83.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$48,931
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region
Centroid at 45.4454, -122.5746 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southgate scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milwaukie
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukie
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukie
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukie
5.0
How Southgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 732Total filings over 6 yrs
- 6.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2007)
- 55Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southgate
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 732 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 7.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.8% of renter households in 2007.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005022201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005022201?
Census tract 41005022201 in the Southgate neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005022201?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005022201?
19.6% of residents in tract 41005022201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,706.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005022201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 95th, minority 53th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 41005022201 considered part of Southgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005022201 fall within Southgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005022201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 732 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005022201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.96% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005022201 compare to Milwaukie overall?
Tract 41005022201 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Milwaukie at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41005022201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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