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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milwaukie

Tract 41005021602 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 4,863 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 41005021602 sits in the Southgate area of Milwaukie eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. It is home to 4,863 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Clackamas County average of 50.1%.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 14% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,153
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$77,774

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Southgate
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Milwaukie
Moderate
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 87 tracts In Clackamas County
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region

Centroid at 45.4403, -122.5860 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukie
6.0

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 0216026.5Milwaukieparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 409Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 7.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.2%Peak (2007)
  • 34Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2007 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41005021602
Filings dropped 73% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Against the Clackamas County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 409 evictions over 6 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 14.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005021602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021602?

Census tract 41005021602 in the Southgate neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41005021602?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021602?

8.7% of residents in tract 41005021602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,863.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 65th, minority 37th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 41005021602 considered part of Southgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021602 fall within Southgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 409 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.77% of renter households, peaking at 14.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41005021602 compare to Milwaukie overall?

Tract 41005021602 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Milwaukie at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukie

Top eight tracts in Milwaukie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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