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Neighborhood · Milwaukie, OR

Southgate Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 10,569 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.7–7.2

Southgate spans 2 census tracts of Milwaukie, OR, population 10,569. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.9/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 34.6% citywide, putting Southgate 25.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.

Court records carry 1,141 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 14.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.2% in 2013, is well off that peak.

At $1,498 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Milwaukie commands. That places it #6 of 5 neighborhoods in Milwaukie. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $62,202.

With little internal variation, 6.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Southgate vs Milwaukie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +74%
Milwaukie: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,498 -6%
Milwaukie: $1,598
Average HH income
$62,202 -25%
Milwaukie: $82,422
Poverty rate
14.6% +126%
Milwaukie: 6.5%
Renter share
63.2% +61%
Milwaukie: 39.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.7–7.2

Why Southgate scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–8.3 across tracts
7.7
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 7.2–8.3 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–7.0 across tracts
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 4.0–8.1 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–6.0 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
14.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–4.9 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–3.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Southgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Southgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.9SouthgateNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Southgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41005021602 7.2 4,863 63% $1,691
41005022201 6.7 5,706 58% $1,333
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southgate

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,141Total filings (sum)
  • 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.2%Peak year (2007)
  • 3.18%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Southgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Southgate?

Southgate scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Southgate compare to Milwaukie overall?

Southgate scores 0.4 points higher than Milwaukie overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,498 vs $1,598.
Q3

What is the average rent in Southgate?

Average gross rent in Southgate is $1,498/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Southgate residents are renters?

63% of Southgate households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Milwaukie). The neighborhood has 10,569 residents.
Q5

Is Southgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Southgate sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Southgate have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Southgate is census tract 41005021602 (score 7.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 7.2, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Southgate for landlords?

Southgate carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Milwaukie as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Southgate?

Southgate has 10,828 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Milwaukie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southgate.

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