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Neighborhood · Milwaukie, OR

Southgate Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,569 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.6–5.1

Southgate is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Milwaukie with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,569 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,498/month sits 6% lower than the Milwaukie citywide average ($1,598).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Southgate vs Milwaukie How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +74%
Milwaukie: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,498 -6%
Milwaukie: $1,598
Average HH income
$62,202 -25%
Milwaukie: $82,422
Poverty rate
14.6% +126%
Milwaukie: 6.5%
Renter share
63.2% +61%
Milwaukie: 39.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–5.1

Why Southgate scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–8.3 across tracts
7.7
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 7.2–8.3 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–7.0 across tracts
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 4.0–8.1 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–6.0 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
14.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–4.9 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–3.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Southgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Southgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Southgate: 4.44.4SouthgateNeighborhoodParent city: 7.27.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.17.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Southgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41005022201 5.1 5,706 58% $1,333
41005021602 3.6 4,863 63% $1,691
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southgate

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,141Total filings (sum)
  • 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.2%Peak year (2007)
  • 3.18%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Southgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Southgate?

Southgate scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Southgate compare to Milwaukie overall?

Southgate scores 2.8 points lower than Milwaukie overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,498 vs $1,598.
Q3

What is the average rent in Southgate?

Average gross rent in Southgate is $1,498/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Southgate residents are renters?

63% of Southgate households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Milwaukie). The neighborhood has 10,569 residents.
Q5

Is Southgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Southgate sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Southgate have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Southgate is census tract 41005022201 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 5.1, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Southgate for landlords?

Southgate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Milwaukie as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Southgate?

Southgate has 10,828 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Milwaukie

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southgate.

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