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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Grove

Tract 41005022710 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 2,678 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

41005022710 is a census tract in the Old Town area of Wilsonville, OR. It scores 7.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,678. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 35% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,236
Renter share73.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$76,389

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Old Town
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Oak Grove
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 87 tracts In Clackamas County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#170 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region

Centroid at 45.3055, -122.7474 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,874 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
6.5

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.6This tracttract 0227106.2Oak Groveparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 257Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2009)
  • 16Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2007 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41005022710
Filings dropped 61% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Clackamas County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 257 filings here across 6 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 9.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,874, close to the Wilsonville average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $76,389.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005022710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005022710?

Census tract 41005022710 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41005022710?

Median gross rent is $1,874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005022710?

11.9% of residents in tract 41005022710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,678.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005022710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 56th, minority 43th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 41005022710 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005022710 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005022710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 257 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005022710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41005022710 compare to Oak Grove overall?

Tract 41005022710 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Grove at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove

Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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