Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Butte Falls Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41029002600 · Jackson County, OR · pop 2,662 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Butte Falls
Tract 41029002600 sits in Butte Falls, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. It is home to 2,662 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,156
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$59,303
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butte Falls and the region
Centroid at 42.6709, -122.4764 · click any tract to drill in
Why Butte Falls scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butte Falls
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$896 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butte Falls
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butte Falls
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butte Falls
9.0
How Butte Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2010)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Butte Falls
Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 filings here across 14 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 7.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.
It tracks the Jackson County average of 6.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029002600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029002600?
Census tract 41029002600 in Butte Falls scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029002600?
Median gross rent is $896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029002600?
15.4% of residents in tract 41029002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029002600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 52th, minority 25th, housing 51th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029002600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.40% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41029002600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41029002600 compare to Butte Falls overall?
Tract 41029002600 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Butte Falls at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butte Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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