Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41029002701 · Jackson County, OR · pop 3,184 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Trail
How risky is Trail for landlords? Census tract 41029002701 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,044 monthly, set against $66,792 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,151
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$66,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Trail and the region
Centroid at 42.6896, -122.7879 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trail scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Trail
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,044 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trail
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trail
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trail
5.0
How Trail compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 56Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trail
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Trail, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jackson County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029002701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029002701?
Census tract 41029002701 in Trail scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029002701?
Median gross rent is $1,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029002701?
17.4% of residents in tract 41029002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029002701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 98th, minority 17th, housing 29th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 41029002701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 41029002701 compare to Trail overall?
Tract 41029002701 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Trail at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trail; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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