Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from constituent census tracts, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Tenant beats landlord
55.6%
/ 100 outcomes
In court-decided eviction outcomes for Trail, OR, tenants prevail in roughly 55.6% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses, longer calendars, and more required documentation, and landlord-friendliness drops as this rises.
Timeline
148d
filing → judgment
From the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Trail, OR until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 148 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent and higher carry costs for landlords.
Cost range
$6.0–16.0k
legal + lost rent
A typical eviction in Trail, OR costs landlords $5,951 to $15,973 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent during the calendar between filing and possession.
Average rent
$1,044
55% stretched on rent
Average gross rent in Trail, OR is $1,044 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey (5-year 2023). 55% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent, the federal cost-burden threshold.
Renters
16.3%
of households
16.3% of occupied housing units in Trail, OR are renter-occupied (vs owner-occupied). A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings, more turnover, and a more active rental market.
Poverty
39.6%
8.1% unemp.
39.6% of Trail, OR residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 8.1%. Both feed into the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model because rent payment problems track poverty + joblessness more reliably than any other single signal.
Time machine
Scrub 50 years
197619861996200620162026
2026
● LIVE · today◀ REPLAY · historical
Nine-axis profile
9-axis profile · today
Shape of the risk surface
1 landlord · 10 tenant
Sub-scores · with sparkline
Where the score comes from
1 → 10 scale
Local political climate
GOP margin +6.4% (2024)
5.3
Regional political climate
County-weighted neighbor mix
5.3
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
39.6% poverty · 8.1% unemp.
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,044 average · 16.3% renters
2.9
Rent Control risk
54.6% of income on rent
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
148 days filing → judgment
7.2
Tenant organizing strength
16.3% renters
2.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition
5.0
Geographic context
Risk heat across Trail and the region
Click any city to see its score
How Trail compares
Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Jackson County
Very High
#2of 17 cities
#2 of 17 cities in Jackson County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Oregon
High
#80of 425 cities
#80 of 425 cities in Oregon for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Score story
Six-stop tour of the risk profile
6.9
/ 10 · ELEVATED
The verdict
A Elevated-tier market.
Composite 6.9/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.
50-yr trend+4.3 over 50 yr
197620012026
Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible
148d
Typical timeline
The money
What renting (and evicting) looks like.
Rent published at $1,044/mo. A contested eviction takes 148 days and costs $5,951–$15,973 per case.
50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
197620012026
Court-clerk data lands in the next release.
16.3%
Renters
The renters
Who you'll be renting to.
Out of 769 residents, 16.3% rent. 55% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 39.6% below the poverty line.
50-yr trendRenter share rising
197620012026
ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.
5.3
Local + regional
The politics
Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.
Local & regional political climate score 5.3 and 5.3 (GOP margin +6.4% (2024)). State climate at 7.2, a tenant-leaning legislature.
50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
197620012026
Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.
7.2
State politics
The process
Moderate calendar, moderate friction.
State political climate 7.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.2, housing court bias 5, rent-control risk 5.5. Standard process speed for the state.
50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.2 since '00
197620012026
Court-clerk data lands in the next release.
8.9
Economic stress
The stress
Economic pressure is the real risk.
Economic stress: 8.9. Supply constraint: 2.9. The numbers behind those: 39.6% poverty, 8.1% unemployment, 55% of income on rent.
50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
197620012026
Mirrors BLS unemployment series.
US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost
Trail sits in the slow & expensive quadrant
Bubble size = population · color = risk score
Trail · 148d · ~$11.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 6.9National average: 58d · $4.6k all-inHover any bubble for stats · click to openColor: 0–4 4–7 7–10
Landlording in Trail, Oregon, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.
Trail is a city of 769 residents where 16.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 54.6% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,044/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.
01Process
How Trail eviction process actually works
Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.2/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Trail closes 148 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.
The slow part of Trail's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.
02Cost
What it costs (and how long it takes)
An all-in eviction in Trail runs $5,951 to $15,973 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.
For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 148 days of typical timeline and $1,044/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.
03Operations
Security deposits, screening, and lease terms
Tenant organizing strength scores 2.9/10 in Trail, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:
Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Oregon, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy
What an everyday landlord should actually do here
If you own one to four units in Trail: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.
The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Oregon's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $15,973 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.
04bPractical traps
Local traps to avoid in Trail
Trap · ORS 90 + SB 608
At 5.8/10, use documented notices and proactive screening. State default under ORS 90 + SB 608.
05FAQ
Frequently asked questions
Q1
Can I evict a tenant in Trail for just any reason?
No, Oregon has statewide just-cause eviction requirements. You generally need a specific reason, like non-payment of rent, a lease violation, or certain specific circumstances like an owner move-in or property sale, to evict a tenant. "No-cause" evictions are very limited and require a 90-day notice.
Q2
What if my tenant refuses to leave after the eviction judgment?
If a tenant doesn't vacate after the court grants you a judgment for possession, you will need to get a "Writ of Execution" from the court. This writ authorizes the sheriff to physically remove the tenant and their belongings. You cannot do this yourself; it must be done by the sheriff.
Q3
How much notice do I need to give for a rent increase in Trail?
Oregon has statewide rent control. For month-to-month tenancies, you generally need to provide at least 90 days' written notice for a rent increase. There are also caps on how much you can increase rent annually, typically tied to inflation plus 7%. Always check current Oregon statutes for precise limits.
Q4
Can I keep the security deposit for normal wear and tear?
No. You can only deduct from the security deposit for damages beyond normal wear and tear, unpaid rent, or other specific breaches of the lease agreement. Normal wear and tear, like minor scuffs on walls or worn carpet, is considered part of living in a property and cannot be charged to the tenant.
Q5
Is Trail, OR, landlord-friendly?
With an eviction risk score of 5.8/10 and a lengthy 148-day average eviction timeline, Trail is not considered a particularly landlord-friendly market. The high costs, just-cause requirements, and strong tenant protections mean landlords need to be diligent and informed.
A 6.9/10 places Trail in the 86th percentile of Oregon cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.
Cities with similar eviction risk to Trail (6.9/10)
Same risk band nationally · click any city for its full breakdown.
