Tract 41039001400 Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 86 evictions over 16 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $77,250, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Lane County average of 6.2 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.