Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
North Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039002002 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,992 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 41039002002 covers part of the North Springfield area of Springfield, OR, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,992. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,186
Renter share26.0%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$78,100
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 44.0685, -123.0050 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Springfield scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,370 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
How North Springfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 629Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2002)
- 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 212Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Springfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Springfield
Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.2% across Lane County. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 629 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 8.0% of renter households were served.
Average gross rent is $1,370, 9% above the Springfield average. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Lane County average of 6.2 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002002?
Census tract 41039002002 in the North Springfield neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002002?
Median gross rent is $1,370/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002002?
10.5% of residents in tract 41039002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,992.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 88th, minority 34th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002002 considered part of North Springfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002002 fall within North Springfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039002002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 629 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039002002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.79% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039002002 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 41039002002 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Glen
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Glenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039003400
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Glen
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41039001903
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Thurston
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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