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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Eugene Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41039004404 · Lane County, OR · pop 3,328

Tract 41039004404 sits in Eugene eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 3,328 residents. Against Lane County at 46.2%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 6% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,371
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$97,758

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#36 of 45 tracts In Eugene
Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#596 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eugene and the region

Centroid at 44.0328, -123.1308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eugene scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5

How Eugene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eugene risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0044047.0Eugeneparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 70Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 1.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2011)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41039004404
Filings dropped 29% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 14Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eugene

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 70 filings here across 16 tracked years. At $1,250 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Eugene commands.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 2.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $97,758, annual rent is just 15%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Lane County average of 6.2 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039004404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039004404?

Census tract 41039004404 in Eugene scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039004404?

Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039004404?

7.8% of residents in tract 41039004404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,328.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039004404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 60th, minority 27th, housing 15th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039004404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 70 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039004404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.77% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039004404 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039004404 compare to Eugene overall?

Tract 41039004404 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Eugene at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eugene

Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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