Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Bethel Eviction Risk: Moderate , Eugene
Tract 41039004100 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,358 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 41039004100 covers the Bethel area of Eugene, home to 4,358 residents. For landlords it grades 6.7/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,433 a month against an average household income of $75,956 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,693
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$75,956
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eugene and the region
Centroid at 44.0746, -123.1250 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bethel scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5
How Bethel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 397Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2004)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 78Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bethel. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bethel
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Eugene eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lane County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 397 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.3% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039004100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039004100?
Census tract 41039004100 in the Bethel neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039004100?
Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039004100?
14.1% of residents in tract 41039004100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,358.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039004100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 65th, minority 29th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 41039004100 considered part of Bethel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039004100 fall within Bethel (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039004100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 397 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039004100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.68% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039004100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039004100 compare to Eugene overall?
Tract 41039004100 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Eugene at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eugene
Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Woodfield Microhood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Whiteaker
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Whiteaker
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Whiteaker
7.6
/ 10 · High
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