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Neighborhood · Eugene, OR

Bethel Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,412 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.8/10 · range 6.9–8.3

Bethel spans 2 census tracts of Eugene, OR and houses 11,412 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.8/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 35.1% citywide, putting Bethel 26.4% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.9 to 8.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Court records carry 1,320 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 7.8% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,239, 12% below the Eugene average of $1,402. The most recent observed rate, 2.9% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Eugene, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, River Edge Public Plaza and Whiteaker score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bethel vs Eugene How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.5% +75%
Eugene: 35.1%
Average gross rent
$1,239 -12%
Eugene: $1,402
Average HH income
$55,276 -13%
Eugene: $63,836
Poverty rate
16.7% -8%
Eugene: 18.2%
Renter share
40.3% -23%
Eugene: 52.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethel and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.9–8.3

Why Bethel scores 7.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 3.5–4.6 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–4.6 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Bethel vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bethel score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.8BethelNeighborhood7.0Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bethel

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41039004300 8.3 7,054 68% $1,119
41039004100 6.9 4,358 50% $1,433
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bethel

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,320Total filings (sum)
  • 4.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak year (2007)
  • 3.02%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 357Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.03×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene, OR).

Frequently asked

About Bethel

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bethel?

Bethel scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bethel compare to Eugene overall?

Bethel scores 0.8 points higher than Eugene overall (7/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,239 vs $1,402.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bethel?

Average gross rent in Bethel is $1,239/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bethel residents are renters?

40% of Bethel households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Eugene). The neighborhood has 11,412 residents.
Q5

Is Bethel a high social-vulnerability area?

Bethel sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bethel have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bethel is census tract 41039004300 (score 8.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 8.3, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Bethel for landlords?

Bethel carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Eugene as a whole (7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bethel?

Bethel has 11,473 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.2%), Hispanic / Latino (16.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bethel

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Eugene

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bethel.

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