Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally
Toledo Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41041951400 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 3,323 · 42% of tract blocks fall in Toledo
Tract 41041951400 covers Toledo in Lincoln County in Oregon. Home to 3,323 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,023 a month while the average household earns $49,840 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,296
Renter share48.3%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$49,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 44.5850, -123.8840 · click any tract to drill in
Why Toledo scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
7.4
How Toledo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 195Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2005)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Toledo
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lincoln County average of 5.6 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 195 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41041951400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041951400?
Census tract 41041951400 in Toledo scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41041951400?
Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41041951400?
28.9% of residents in tract 41041951400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,323.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41041951400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 45th, minority 25th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041951400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 41041951400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41041951400 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 41041951400 scores 7.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Toledo at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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