Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Toledo Eviction Risk: High
Tract 41041951400 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 3,323 · 42% of tract blocks fall in Toledo
Tract 41041951400 sits in Toledo, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 3,323 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,296
Renter share48.3%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$49,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 44.5850, -123.8840 · click any tract to drill in
Why Toledo scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
7.4
How Toledo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 195Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2005)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Toledo
Against the Lincoln County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Cost burden runs 33% here against 43.0% across Lincoln County.
The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 195 filings here across 9 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 10.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41041951400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041951400?
Census tract 41041951400 in Toledo scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41041951400?
Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41041951400?
28.9% of residents in tract 41041951400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,323.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41041951400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 45th, minority 25th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041951400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 41041951400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41041951400 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 41041951400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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