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Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41047001803 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,888 · 78% of tract blocks fall in Salem

41047001803 is a census tract in Salem, OR. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $48,931, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 15% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$48,931

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 40 tracts In Salem
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 65 tracts In Marion County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#255 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.8892, -122.9699 · click any tract to drill in

Why Salem scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 0018036.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 223Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 3.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2000)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047001803
Filings dropped 67% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Salem

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 48.4% across Marion County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 223 filings here across 16 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,598, 14% above the Salem average. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2000, when 7.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047001803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001803?

Census tract 41047001803 in Salem scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047001803?

Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001803?

12.2% of residents in tract 41047001803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,888.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 47th, minority 44th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001803?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 223 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.55% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047001803 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047001803 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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